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Eaton Corp plc (ETN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q2 with revenues $7.028B (+11% YoY), diluted EPS $2.51 (+1% YoY) and adjusted EPS $2.95 (+8% YoY); segment margins at 23.9% at the high end of guidance .
  • Versus estimates, EPS modestly beat and revenue was above consensus; EBITDA was slightly below consensus. Drivers included 8% organic growth, acquisitions (+2%) and currency (+1%), with strong data center and aerospace momentum; vehicle and eMobility were headwinds .
  • FY25 guidance raised on organic growth (8.5–9.5%) and margins (24.1–24.5%); adjusted EPS to $11.97–$12.17. Q3 guidance: EPS $2.58–$2.64, adjusted EPS $3.01–$3.07 .
  • Orders/backlog strengthened: EA orders TTM +2% (ex-large lumpiness), EA backlog +17%; Aerospace orders TTM +10%, backlog +16%; total book-to-bill for Electrical + Aerospace at 1.1, supporting trajectory and capacity additions into 2H25 .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: continued data center share gains and capacity ramp, guidance improvements, and accretive portfolio moves (Ultra PCS, Resilient Power Systems); dividend declared $1.04 per share for Aug 22, 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Electrical Americas delivered record sales $3.350B (+16% YoY) and operating profit $987M; margin 29.5%. EA orders TTM inflected to +2%, backlog +17% YoY; management affirmed book-to-bill >1 for the year .
  • Aerospace posted record sales $1.080B (+13% YoY), operating profit $240M and margin 22.2%; orders TTM +10%, backlog +16%, book-to-bill 1.1 .
  • Management emphasized capacity additions and market share gains in North America, particularly in data centers: “we estimate the market to be around the low 30s year over year,” while “the business grew at 50%” and share gains beyond data centers (utilities, OEMs) .

What Went Wrong

  • Vehicle segment declined: sales $663M (-8% YoY), margins 17.0% (better sequentially), reflecting North America truck weakness .
  • eMobility sales $182M (-4% YoY), operating loss of $10M; organic sales -7% offset partly by FX +3% .
  • EA margins face ~100 bps headwind from ramping six facilities; tariffs are being offset dollar-for-dollar but create phasing/timing issues for price recovery, affecting near-term margin cadence .

Financial Results

Headline Results vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$6.240 $6.377 $7.028
Diluted EPS ($)$2.45 $2.45 $2.51
Adjusted EPS ($)$2.83 $2.72 $2.95
Segment Margin (%)24.7% 23.9% 23.9%

YoY Snapshot (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$6.350 $7.028
Diluted EPS ($)$2.48 $2.51
Adjusted EPS ($)$2.73 $2.95
Segment Margin (%)23.7% (implied; +20 bps YoY) 23.9%

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)

SegmentSales ($USD Billions)Operating Profit ($USD Millions)Operating Margin (%)
Electrical Americas$3.350 $987 29.5%
Electrical Global$1.753 $353 20.1%
Aerospace$1.080 $240 22.2%
Vehicle$0.663 $113 17.0%
eMobility$0.182 -$10 n/a

KPIs (Q2 2025)

KPIElectrical AmericasElectrical GlobalAerospaceTotal Electrical + Aerospace
Orders TTM (Organic)+2% -1% +10%
Backlog YoY+17% +1% +16% Book-to-bill 1.1

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet (Quarterly)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$1,597 $238 $918
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$1,342 $91 $716
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$555 $1,777 $398
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$38,381 $39,206 $40,507
Total Equity ($USD Millions)$18,531 $18,547 $18,647

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Organic Growth (%)FY 20257.5–9.5 (Q1 guide) 8.5–9.5 Raised lower bound
Segment Margins (%)FY 202524.0–24.4 (Q1 guide) 24.1–24.5 Raised
EPS ($)FY 202510.29–10.69 (Q1 guide) 10.41–10.61 Slightly raised vs Q1 (below initial Q4 guide 10.60–11.00 )
Adjusted EPS ($)FY 202511.80–12.20 (Q1 guide) 11.97–12.17 Raised
EPS ($)Q3 20252.58–2.64 New
Adjusted EPS ($)Q3 20253.01–3.07 New
Dividend ($/share)Q3 2025$1.04 payable Aug 22, 2025 Declared

Non-GAAP adjustments (Q2): $0.25 intangible amortization, $0.14 acquisition/divestiture, $0.05 restructuring; adjusted EPS reconciliation disclosed .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/data centersQ4: Backlog now ~7 years of build at 2024 rates; negotiations and orders accelerating . Q1: EA pipeline up 18%; data center sales grew “very strong double-digit” above prior 45% cited; long-term agreements, modular solutions (Fibrebond), market share gains .EA orders/book-to-bill >1; strong visibility; capacity adds driving 2H acceleration; market share gains; data center business growth around 50% YoY; Fiberbond run-rate increasing; acquisitive backlog additive .Strengthening with capacity ramp; share gains and portfolio accretion.
Supply chain/lead timesQ4: Internal supply chain normalized vs post-COVID; labor constraints remain industry bottleneck .Ramping six EA facilities; start-up inefficiencies temporarily pressure margins; lead times improving but above historical .Improving execution; near-term margin headwinds from ramp.
Tariffs/macroQ4/Q1: Playbook to offset tariffs via cost, supply chain actions, pricing; guidance embeds tariff assumptions; price realization timing affects H1/H2 EPS mix .Dollar-for-dollar offset ongoing; ~100 bps EA margin headwind currently; Q2 phasing lag in price recovery .Managed headwind; neutral dollars, timing friction.
Product performanceQ4/Q1: Utilities high single-digit growth; EA margins strong; Aerospace OE/AM growth solid; Vehicle softness; eMobility program delays .EA +16% sales; EG +9%; Aerospace +13%; Vehicle -8%; eMobility -4% with loss .Mixed: strength in Electrical/Aerospace; Vehicle/eMobility drag.
Regional trendsQ1: APAC and EMEA double-digit organic in EG, OEM orders up ~30% sequentially .EG orders TTM -1% but backlog +1% YoY; continued EMEA/APAC support .Stabilizing; backlog supports 2H.
Regulatory/legalQ1: Tariff assumptions detailed in release; resilience strategy (local-for-local) .Dividend declared; acquisitions (Ultra PCS; Resilient Power Systems) advancing strategic positioning .Positive strategic actions.
R&D/technologyData center modularization (NordicEPOD, Fibrebond), Siemens Energy alliance for on-site power; enabling higher power density .Ultra PCS expands aerospace electronics; Resilient adds solid-state transformers with data center applications .Portfolio moving up-tech, accretive margins.

Management Commentary

  • “We see sustained demand in the acceleration of orders and increase in our backlog…investing for growth in technology, acquisitions and partnerships in fast-growing, high-margin markets” (CEO) .
  • “We are ramping up six different facilities in Electrical America…we see about one point of margin headwind in Electrical America today” (CEO and CFO) .
  • “Electrical Americas…market share gains in North America…data center business grew at 50% where we estimate the market to be around the low 30s” (CEO) .
  • “Fiberbond…we increased the outlook…performing at high level…Fiberbond brings other $1,200,000,000 on top of [organic backlog]” (CEO, CFO) .
  • Aerospace: “Operating margin expanded by 70 basis points to 22.2%…orders increased 10%…backlog increase 16% year over year” (CFO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Data center momentum and share gains: management cited outsized growth vs market; modular, capacity adds in 2H support sequential acceleration; long-term agreements underpin visibility .
  • Fiberbond integration: stronger-than-anticipated run-rate and ~$1.2B acquisitive backlog contribution on top of organic backlog; blurred lines with EA go-to-market .
  • Tariffs and pricing: dollar-for-dollar offsets via cost actions, supply chain and pricing; Q2 timing lag impacts margins and EPS phasing .
  • Capacity ramp costs: ~100 bps EA margin headwind while six facilities ramp; normalization expected as plants mature .
  • Orders trajectory: EA backlog +17% YoY; electrical sector TTM orders turned positive; book-to-bill >1 .

Estimates Context

MetricConsensus (Q2 2025)Actual (Q2 2025)Beat/Miss
EPS ($)2.922*2.95 +$0.03*
Revenue ($USD Billions)$6.913*$7.028 +$0.114B*
EBITDA ($USD Billions)$1.578*$1.566*-$0.012B*

Values with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global. EPS/revenue beats reflect broad-based electrical strength and aerospace growth; modest EBITDA miss consistent with ramp/start-up inefficiencies and tariff timing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Eaton delivered a quality beat on EPS and revenue with record Q2 results; Electrical and Aerospace momentum offset Vehicle/eMobility weakness .
  • Guidance improved for FY25 organic growth, margins, and adjusted EPS; Q3 guide supports sequential earnings progression amid capacity ramps .
  • Data center remains the primary growth engine with share gains and accelerating pipeline; Fiberbond integration and Siemens Energy alliance deepen content per MW and speed-to-market .
  • Near-term margin headwinds (~100 bps EA) from capacity start-up and tariff phasing are transitory; pricing and operational normalization should support margin trajectory in 2H25 .
  • Orders/backlog strength (book-to-bill ~1.1) provides visibility; Aerospace backlog and Ultra PCS acquisition position segment for sustained margin and growth improvement .
  • Dividend continuity ($1.04 August payment) and balance sheet capacity support ongoing bolt-ons (Resilient Power Systems) and strategic investments .
  • Actionable: favor pullbacks tied to transitory margin headwinds; monitor EA capacity ramp execution, tariff pass-through, and data center order cadence for estimate revisions in EPS and margin mix .